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Last time I did the Odds to win the World Series was the last time I am doing worst odds this year, and furthermore, I am not touching the best value bets for the next few weeks, until the playoffs begin.
I had a subpar week at 5 – 5, after several red hot weeks. The Cardinals and Orioles took great strides in the wins, while I was wrong in predicting a slight retraction for the Angels and Bucs on the loss side.
The Blue Jays actually have played well in September, but have still fallen in odds because of hot streaks for other clubs.
Kansas City has come back to the pack a little.
I was fully wrong on thinking the Braves would take a run at least a playoff spot.
I at least forecasted the M’s, Yankees and Brewers to go into a bit of a dry spell.
There are 13 teams I put on the board for this. With 6 divisions and 4 wildcard’s up for grabs, that means 3 will not make the playoffs.
Right now, the Mariners, Brewers and Braves are not in hold of a postseason slot.
Seattle has a tougher schedule than the Royals, however if they can win 4 out of their next 5 games this week they will gain some ground on a playoff spot, with Detroit and Kansas City playing a 3 game series later this weekend
It looks like the Mariners will have to win about 8 or 9 of their last 13 games to lock down a spot. That would give them 88 – 89 wins.
The M’s play 6 vs LAA, where I can project a 4 – 2 record, as the Angels will be resting guys in the last series of the year, resting on their AL West Division Title.
Seattle also plays in Toronto for a 4 game set, where I predict a 2 – 2 record, and I say the M’s take 2 of 3 versus the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. This should give them 88 wins.
KC is 82 – 67 right now, but have that suspended game – where they will resume losing 4 – 2 in the bottom of the 10th to the Indians right before their 3 game set next Monday.
They also have 6 games left (2 Starts by Chris Sale) vs CWS. KC has a 3 game set in Detroit this weekend.
I predict a record of 2 – 2 vs Cleveland, 3 – 3 versus the White Sox and 1 – 2 versus the Tigers
With 88 wins each, I am proclaiming a 1 game playoff between the Mariners and Royals for the 2nd wild card spot.
In the NL, i expect the Bucs to hold off the slumping Brew Crew, to take down the 2nd Wild Card position. I think with series vs the Red Sox and Brewers at home, and the Braves and Reds on the road, they will win 7 games out of 13.
At 86 wins, it should be enough to hold off Milwaukee, who will probably end with 84 or 85 wins, and Atlanta will not go 11 – 1 to end the campaign.
My Best Value Bets Last Time
1, STL +900 (+1000) WIN
2. KC +1800 (+1600) LOSS
3. BAL +750 (+800) WIN
4. ATL +8000 (+3000) LOSS
5. TOR +10000 (+6600) LOSS
Total Record For The Best Value Bets: 2 – 3 – 0
My Worst Value Bets Last Week
1. SEA +2500 (+2200) WIN
2. PIT +2200 (+3500) LOSS
3. LAA +500 (+600) LOSS
4. MIL +2800 (+2000) WIN
5. NYY +20000 (+6000) WIN
Total Record for the Worst Valued Odds: 3 – 2
Total Combined Record for the two columns: 5 – 5
Odds To Win The 2014 World Series This Week (Last Week Odd)
Blue Color Bold – Not Good Value Ranked 1 – 5 in parenthesis
RED Color Bold – Great Value – Ranked 1 – 5 in parenthesis
1. LAA +500 (+600)
T2. LAD +550 (+550)
T2. WSH +550 (+600)
4. DET +600 (+700)
5. BAL +750 (+800)
6. STL +900 (+1000)
7. OAK +1000 (+700)
8. SF +1200 (+1600)
9. KC +1800 (+1600)
10 PIT +2200 (+3500)
11. SEA +2500 (+2200)
12. MIL +2800 (+2000)
13. ATL +8000 (+3000)
US Residents be advised it is illegal to gamble in most states in the country.
Odds brought to you by http://www.bet365.com
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
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