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Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.
To start off, I have eliminated 11 teams from the chance to win a World Series. These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI+CHC.
It has been a great handicapping year for yours truly, but that could all unravel in the next few weeks. I had a 6 – 1 – 3 record for best value bets.
As for the entire season, my bets have been plugging away at a great clip.
My best move was to hammer the KC Royals for a $20 wager at 50/1, then hit them for a $7 wager when they rose to 80/1 about 5 weeks ago.
Another highlights was placing $75 on the Tigers when they were at 11/1 odds after a slow 1st week.
I also managed to throw down some nice cabbage on the O’s at a 50/1 odd in May, but also to get them at 6/1 for the Division just after the Jays went on their win rampage – courtesy of Edwin Encarnacion.
Last week I took advantage of a Braves 40/1 odd that presented itself.
I also have heavy bets on the Blue Jays and Angels (got them both at 20/1 – although the Canadian club is looking like a bad selection now.)
For other fringe teams, I also might have lost when plunking down some money on the Yankees at 40/1 last week.
I hit up the Rays pretty good at the start of the season, but more so when they were on fire before trading away David Price.
I will probably lose about $80 on them overall, but I could stand to win in the 2K range, if they could pull a miracle run.
I wagered on the Indians and Bucs back in the 80/1 odds days, and that looks okay…I also hit up the Reds with a big $25 bet at 66/1 odd, which looked nice at the ALL – Star Break, but doesn’t look so good now.
Last week I also made a bet on the Brewers at +1800, before they went down to the same odd the Cards did.
I have never put money on Oakland, Seattle, Washington, St. Louis or Los Angeles to win the World Series because the value has never been there…
On a small note, I did place a $10 bet on the Mariners to win the AL West with a 35/1 odd. They could make some serious ground if the A’s and Angels split a 4 game series this week, and they continue to roll.
Overall, I am happy with my year recaps, and at least I may be able to hedge some of these bets for a yearly profit at the end of the campaign.
This week I am still running with the Royals, because they hold a 2 game lead, and are 2 and a half times more an underdog than Detroit.
I also liked the value for the Indians (sneaky team with nice schedule), Orioles, Cardinals (could be the week they take over NL Central reigns) and the Blue Jays (play Boston).
Still hate the Oakland odd as they are not sure fire to make anything in a one game playoff – potentially against David Price or Felix Hernandez.
I am down on the Giants, who were obliterated by the Nats over the weekend, and I still can’t shake the fact the Brewers are .500 since a 20 – 7 start. St. Louis will be better than that heading down the pike.
My Best Value Bets Last Week
(1). KC +1800 This Week +1800 = Draw
(2). ATL +4000 This Week +2800 = Win
(3). BAL +1000 This Week +1000 = Draw
(4). LAA +800 This Week +700 = Win
(5). CLE +12500 This Week +8000 = Win
Total Record For The Best Value Bets: 3 – 0 – 2
My Worst Value Bets Last Week
(1). PIT +2800 This Week +4000 – Win
(2) OAK +450 This Week +450 – Draw
(3) SEA +2800 This Week +2500 – Loss
(4). CIN +9000 This Week +15000 – Win
(5). TOR +4500 This Week +5000 – Win
Total Record for the Worst Valued Odds: 3 – 1 – 1
Total Combined Record for the two columns: 6 – 1 – 3
Odds To Win The 2014 World Series This Week (Last Week Odd)
Blue Color Bold – Not Good Value Ranked 1 – 5 in parenthesis
RED Color Bold – Great Value – Ranked 1 – 5 in parenthesis
1. OAK +450 (+450) (2)
2. LAD +550 (+550)
3. WSH +600 (+750)
T4. DET +700 (+650)
T4. LAA +700 (+800) (5)
6. BAL +1000 (+1000) (3)
T7. STL +1400 (+1400) (4)
T7. MIL +1400 (+1400) (4)
T9. SF +1800 (+1800) (3)
T9. KC +1800 (+2800) (1)
11. SEA +2500 (+2800) (1)
12. ATL +2800 (+4000)
13. PIT +4000 (+2800)
14. TOR +5000 (+4500) (5)
15. NYY +6000 (+5000) (5)
16. CLE +8000 (+12500) (2)
17. CIN +15000 (+9000)
T18. TB +20000 (+15000)
T18. MIA +20000 (+20000)
US Residents be advised it is illegal to gamble in most states in the country.
Odds brought to you by http://www.bet365.com
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.
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