Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions: Betting The Longshots The Only Value Left

A AMERICAN LOGO

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Well its another banner prognostication period for me.  Last time we checked on the Divisions, I had the Rays, Angels, Royals, Nationals, Dodgers and Pirates as the best value plays.

I wasn’t expecting Tampa to trade David Price at that point, so I will lose that wager.  I also lost the Bucs value pick, even though they were better odds for the most part of the 3 weeks until the losing streak started.

Overall, the Royals jumped from +800 to just +125 as they skyrocketed up the Division – and now have amassed a 2 game lead over Detroit.

The Dodgers actually had some value 3 weeks ago at -225.  Hope you put some cabbage on them, because now they are -800.

The same can be said for Baltimore, pole-vaulting from +160 – all the way to -900.  They are the biggest favorite in any AL Division.

Washington has played great baseball in the last 21 days, opening up a 6 game lead in the NL East.  They blitzed from -190, to now being -1600.  That odd is not worth wagering anymore..

Los Angeles (on AL Side) have taken over the lead in the AL West by a half game on Oakland, and are still a +125 underdog, to the A’s -150 mark.

It was still good enough to venture from +175 to +125 now, and make me a 4 – 2 prediction selector.  Let’s have it this time around.

If I don’t feel a team has a chance at the Division, i will leave them off the lists.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

AL EAST

Best Value Odd Highlighted in Red

Aug 18th Odd listed 1st

July 28th Odd in Bracket

AL EAST

300px-NewYorkYankees_PrimaryLogo.svg

Analysis:

There is just no value in the Orioles anymore.  While I don’t think the Yankees are capable of catching the O’s, if you simulated 10 different seasons with the present lineups, maybe one of the years would squeak in with the Bronx Bombers winning the Division despite a 7.5 Games deficit.

1.  BAL -900 (+160)

2. NYY  +1000 (+275)

3. TOR +1100 (+160)

4.  TB +3300 (+900)

Cleveland Indians

AL CENTRAL

Analysis:

The Indians are just 6 games out of the loss column to KC and 6.5 Games overall.  KC is bound for a bit of a retreat when they play against Detroit soon.  The Royals have an easy schedule, but so does Cleveland.

The ‘Tribe’ finished 2013 with a 10 game winning streak, and any team that has Corey Kluber might facilitate a run at some point.  at that odd, it may be worth a few dollars bet.

1.  DET -150 (-800)

2.  KC +125 (+800)

3.  CLE +2500 (+1200)

Mariners-web-logo

AL WEST

Analysis:

Believe me again.  I think that Angels will win the Division, and am astounded that betting sites have the A’s favored for everything in the World Series, ALCS and AL West.

The Halo’s are 1st today by a half game, and are at double the odds to payoff.  Having said this, look at the Mariners at +3500.  They are 6.5 Games behind the Angels, and will watch those teams play 7 times against each other in the next 13 days,

Seattle has 2 more versus the Phillies, before trekking to Boston for a series, before coming home to play the Rangers in a series.  Yes they play the Nats at the end of the month, but have 10 more games in September against the Astros and Rangers.

For those keeping score at home, the M’s have winning records versus Oakland and the Los Angeles, and will play them both 6 times each in September as well.  In 35 times through the simulation, Seattle has to come on top 1 time.

1. OAK -150 (-225)

2. LAA +125 (+175)

3. SEA +3500 (+2500)

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

NL EAST

atlanta-braves-logo

Analysis: 

The Braves play the Nats tough., and it seems they play well against the Athletics too.  Riding a 4 game winning streak into play tonight, they also have a much easier schedule themselves, with 2 more @ Pittsburgh. before a 4 game set @ Cincinnati, before embarking on a 6 game homestand versus Miami and Philadelphia.

The “Tomahawk Choppers” could go 8 – 4 or 9 – 3 in this stretch.  Washington has 3 more versus the D’Backs, before the Giants come to town for 3.  Then the Nats head to Philadelphia, Los Angeles Dodgers and Seattle for 3 games a piece on a 9 game road trip.  I

t is not inconceivable for this club to go 8 – 7 or 7 – 8 in this itinerary.  These two teams meet 7 more times in September, and the Braves could be within 3 games by then. and have had Washington’s number over the last couple of years.

1.  WSH -1600 (-190)

2.  ATL +700 (+150)

3.  MIA +3300 (+5000)

 

NL CENTRAL

216px-St._Louis_Cardinals_Logo.svg

Analysis:

I am finally giving into the “Zombie” Cardinals odds.  They have been within 3 games of the Brewers for several weeks, but always neck and neck with them for odds, and sometimes favored.

St. Louis will probably catch Milwaukee, who is 2 games over .500 since starting the year 20 – 7 (50 – 48), while St. Louis has gone 36 – 26 over their last 62 Games Played.

Just going on a hunch here, although this is my 5th favorite odd of the board.

1.  MIL (+100) (+140)

2.  STL (+125) ( +140)

3.  PIT +700 (+500)

 

NL WEST

San_francisco_giants_alternate_logo

Analysis:

Only picking the Giants for value because I had to.  The Dodgers should walk away with the NL West.  At least San Fran has won a couple straight to narrow the gap from 5.5 Games to 3.5 Games now.

There is no money to be made with risking cash on LA.

1.  LAD -800 (-225)

2.  SF +500 (+175)

national league

odds brought to you by www.bet365.com

Please note that it is illegal for US citizens to gamble in most States. 

 *** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.

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About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at http://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/
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