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Another week has passed – and it is time to get serious in our World Series picks.
To start off, I have eliminated 11 teams from the chance to win a World Series. These clubs include: BOS/CWS/MIN/TEX/HOU/PHI/NYM/COL/SD/ARI/CHC.
It was a banner week of predicting teams coming and going for yours truly…As bad value of the week I had Toronto (went from +1600 to +4500) as my worst pick..
San Francisco was 2 on the bad list (went from +1400 – +1800)
Oakland was 3rd on the bad list (went from +375 – +450)
Detroit was 4th on the bad list (went from +500 – +650)
St. Louis was 5th on the bad list (went from +1100 – +1400)
A perfect 5 – 0, with the odds lines going way in reverse.
My best value picks last week:
1. Kansas City is playing incredible ball were #1 value (went from +2800 – +1800)
2. Milwaukee was slated as my #2 pick (went from +1600 – +1400)
3. Atlanta was my #3 value pick, and rode a 3 game win streak (but dropped from +2500 – +4000)
4. Los Angeles was my #4 value pick (they went from +1000 – +800) and gained four games on the A’s.
5. Cleveland was the 5th team I selected for value (for some reason they went from +6500 – +12500 despite having a winning record this week. )
Best Value Record was 3 – 2, overall went 8 – 2 for the week.
This weeks odds found a lot of market corrections that had been coming for some time. Both Toronto and New York plunged off of the mat.
Milwaukee and St. Louis are tied for the odds – even with the Brew Crew holding a 3 game lead, but I think this is about even.
The Brewers have played .500 over the last 100 games – while St. Louis is about 10 games over in that time frame. With 40 games left, they could pickup about 3 games here.
The Dodgers, Nationals and Tigers are perfectly pegged where they are now..The Giants are also right at tied for 9th..
My best value pick has to the Royals now. They have an easy schedule this week with Colorado and Texas road trips, so this is where to create some separation for the playoff bar.
They should not be nearly 3 times larger a longshot than Detroit is. Besides in which, they could make the Wild Card slot, and knock someone out with their pitching prowess..
Atlanta heads to the road (where they went 0 – 8 recently) but that was out west. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are vulnerable with injuries, and this past weekend’s sweep over the A’s might just have been the magic elixir to get right with confidence.
Baltimore is spending the week playing both Chicago clubs on the road, hello winning week, and probably furthering their Division lead.
I like the value on the Angels (almost paying 2x the odd that Oakland is) and the Indians are at +12500, for a club that could go on a run with a weighted NL Central itinerary the rest of the way.
Absolutely hate the Pirates odd, as I think they are in free fall mode. Still don’t like Oakland’s value, and have added on a lesser extent: Seattle, Cincinnati and Toronto to odds I am not fond of this week.
Odds To Win The 2014 World Series This Week (Last Week Odd)
Blue Color Bold – Not Good Value Ranked 1 – 5 in parenthesis
RED Color Bold – Great Value – Ranked 1 – 5 in parenthesis
1. OAK +450 (+375) (2)
You can’t put this club #1 while they are tied with LAA for the AL West lead…seriously?
3. LAD +550 (+600)
2. DET +650 (+500)
4. WSH +750 (+850)
5. LAA +800 (+1000) (4)
Angels have a big few series coming up against Oakland. Best depth offensively, and their Bullpen has been built nicely since last fall.
6. BAL +1000 (+1100) (3)
Give me a team with a 7 game lead…The chances are they will win the AL East.
T7. STL +1400 (+1100)
T7. MIL +1400 (+1600)
T9. SF +1800 (+1400)
T9. KC +1800 (+2800) (1)
They are inching towards respectability here, have an awesome schedule coming up for the next week, stay on the gravy train for odds one more week than jump off.
T11. PIT +2800 (+3300) (1)
Let me get this straight, the Bucs lost 3 straight to the Nats over the weekend, are without Andrew McCutchen and became more of a favorite – Wrong!
T11. SEA +2800 (+3300) (3)
Every time the Mariners go hot, they usually go cold right afterwards.
T13. ATL +4000 (+2500) (2)
Atlanta is only a game and a half behind the Giants right now, and they are being carried by Justin Upton, plus easier schedule forth this week than what they just endured.
T13. NYY +4000 (+2800)
15. TOR +4500 (+1600) (5)
Tough week schedule with a road trip to Miller Park, before hosting Tampa at home this weekend. Everyone ahead of them with an easier schedule this week. Soft bet, as it was tough to find 5th bad odd.
16. CIN +9000 (+5000) (4)
That doubleheader blow up @ Colorado was a lights out finale for these guys season. Too many injuries and Aroldis Chapman may have come unglued.
17. CLE +12500 (+6600) (5)
The Tribe is just 5 games behind the playoff bar, 6 behind the AL Central leaders, lots of games versus their own division, and have Corey Kluber firing on all cylinders
18. TB +15000 (+10000)
19. MIA +20000 (+30000)
US Residents be advised it is illegal to gamble in most states in the country.
Odds brought to you by http://www.bet365.com
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post
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