Current Odds To Win The 2014 MLB Divisions

A AMERICAN LOGO

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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With the trade deadline lurking this week, you have to factor this in when you are making bets.

I would be shocked if the Rays trade David Price before July.31, 2014.  This team has erased so many deficits since 2008, and they have been the best team in the league for the last 25% of the year.

I would also predict the Royals to add a bat for the last 2 months.

Pittsburgh has a lot of money in their wallets for a few salary dumps even if they have to wait for the non-waiver deadline.

Cincinnati is fading fast and needs to wheel and deal for some replacement help.

St. Louis has never played well without Molina, and while I love the A.J. Pierzynski addition, they must not stay stagnant here.

The Yankees should break the bank on several more trades now that they are going to be Luxury Tax Abusers yet again!

The Braves should do a deal, yet they have been hampered by all of the payroll B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla eat up.  Maybe 2014 is not their year.

 

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AMERICAN LEAGUE

AL EAST

Best Value Odd Highlighted in Red

July 28th Odd listed 1st

July 11th Odd in Bracket

AL EAST

Analysis:

This is really stupid.  I still can’t believe all of the oddsmakers giving equal value with the Blue Jays and Orioles.  Did they just not see the 6 – 4 west coast road trip Baltimore went on.

This was my swing decision whether I had a good predicting few weeks, and i went 2 – 3 – 1, where a O’s win, would have made it 3 – 2 – 1. 

The O’s beat the Mariners 3/4, Los Angeles 2/3 and were 1/3 against the A’s, with the Bullpen blowing 2 games.  This team could have been 8 – 2 on that trip.

As much as I like the Orioles to win the division, I can’t ignore the 27 – 12 run the Rays have just gone on, The Rays have erased bigger playoff deficits in recent years than 7.5 games, and are paying 9/1.

Having said this, Baltimore has been highlighted because I like them as my 3rd favorite odd of the week. 

The Orioles have a 3 game on Toronto, and have played far superior baseball in the last few weeks.  To have them both pegged at the same odd is not a wise decision here.  While I like the Rays value even more, I would urge a lot of people to wager bets for Baltimore to win the AL East.

The Orioles have a 3 game on Toronto, and have played far superior baseball in the last few weeks. To have them both pegged at the same odd is not a wise decision here. While I like the Rays value even more, I would urge a lot of people to wager bets for Baltimore to win the AL East.

T1.  BAL +160 (+130)

T1. TOR +160 (+168)

3. NYY  +275 (+300)

4.  TB +900 (+1600)

5.  BOS +3300 (+1600)

 

kansas-city-royals-logo

AL CENTRAL

Analysis:

I was on the Royals train for the ride they were on during June.  They have still won 5 of their last 6, and Detroit always seems to make it tough on themselves after building up nice division leads.

A 5 game lead for Detroit on Kansas City seems pretty well a lock to happen, however the odd is horrible for the “Motown Boys” – and not worth putting any cabbage down on.

Why not take a flyer on the KC going on another win streak at the right time, with an 8/1 odd, the value is there.

1.  DET -800 (-600)

2.  KC +800 (+700)

3.  CLE +1200 (+1100)

4.  CWS +6600 (+5000)

5.  MIN +25000 (+10000)

23rd

AL WEST

Analysis:

A while back, I was trumpeting the Angels at the +275 odd, and they climbed up to +175 in about 2 weeks.  The club has done a great job bringing in several new Relief arms, and over the course of 365 days, have completely revamped the Bullpen.

The offense is receiving key contributions all across the board despite no one having an exceptional season except for Mike Trout.

For the record, I believe the A’s will still eek out the AL West, however with just the 2 game lead on the Halo’s, I like the value more with the Angels.

1. OAK -225 (-333)

2. LAA +175 (+275)

3. SEA +2500 (+1400)

T4. TEX +200000 (+40000)

T4. HOU +200000 (+50000)

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

NL EAST

Nationals

Analysis: 

I won the Nationals pick to be more favored from July.11, 2014, which made me 1 – 1 – 1 in selections for the National League.

I am picking them to still make a run at a Division crown – and long playoff run.

Doug Fister and Tanner Roark are posting the best numbers on the starting staff.

Ryan Zimmerman being hurt withstanding, these guys are solid top to bottom on the roster.

The Braves have several weaknesses at 2B, CF and RF,  while the Starting Rotation is relying on too many young guys and veterans who haven’t pitched well in recent years.

1.  WSH -190 (-180)

2.  ATL +160 (+150)

3.  MIA +5000 (+3000)

4.  NYM +6000 (+5000)

5.  PHI +30000 (+10000)

 

NL CENTRAL

The Pirates sitting in 28th for total team payroll is a joke when you consider their fan support at PNC Park for both 2013 and 2014.  The good news is that they could really add a lot of talent come Deadline time, and not have it jolt the salaries that much for the last 2 months.  Pittsburgh should be trying to trade for talent with expiring contracts at the end of the campaign.  Like Seattle, Oakland and Milwaukee (who reside 19th or lower in payroll) this team has done a great job with value per wins on money being spent.

The Pirates sitting in 28th for total team payroll is a joke when you consider their fan support at PNC Park for both 2013 and 2014. The good news is that they could really add a lot of talent come Deadline time, and not have it jolt the salaries that much for the last 2 months. Pittsburgh should be trying to trade for talent with expiring contracts at the end of the campaign. Like Seattle, Oakland and Milwaukee (who reside 19th or lower in payroll) this team has done a great job with value per wins on money being spent.

Analysis:

2 weeks ago, I was riding the Reds crest, and was severely burned in the last 14 games.  Unless Cincy pulls of deals for 2B and 1B replacements in the short term, I am off that bandwagon

The Pirates are healthy and also have money to spend at the Deadline.  This team has been waiting in the weeds all year. and at just 3 games out, they should be better than a 5/1 favorite to win the NL Central.

Milwaukee has been a .500 team for several months, and the Cardinals have never played to a good record when Yadier Molina has been out of the lineup.

T1.  STL (+140) ( +140)

T1.  MIL (+140) (+140)

3.  PIT +500 (+900)

4. CIN +900 (+550)

5.  CHC +50000 (+15000)

 

NL WEST

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Analysis:

The Odds have really not changed at all in the last 15 days, although the Dodgers have been receiving sparkling pitching efforts.

The Starting Rotation could have 3 guys with 18+ wins by years end, and maybe all 3 could challenge the 20 win plateau.   Los Angeles is also very healthy, whereas the Giants have several injury issues.

The Giants traded for Jake Peavy. but must do some more.  I am also afraid Mike Morse is just a 1st half player, based on what we have seen in his last 2 seasons.

1.  LAD -225 (-225)

2.  SF +175 (+180)

T3.  SD +40000 (+30000)

T3.  ARI +40000 (+30000)

3.  COL  +50000 (+15000)

national league

odds brought to you by www.bet365.com

Please note that it is illegal for US citizens to gamble in most States. 

 *** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post

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About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at http://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/
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