Current Odds (AL/NL) To Win The MLB League Championships In 2014

The American League has a lot more parity than the National League this year - with about 12 teams in contention for the playoffs, as opposed to about 8 realistic chances for the NL.  The Tigers should be the ultimate favorite for this odd with the chance of the Angles catching the A's, but overall, they assessed decent odds across the board in the junior circuit.  The wheelhouse for value is within the middle teams.

The American League has a lot more parity than the National League this year – with about 12 teams in contention for the playoffs, as opposed to about 8 realistic chances for the NL. The Tigers should be the ultimate favorite for this odd with the chance of the Angles catching the A’s, but overall, they accessed decent odds across the board in the junior circuit. The wheelhouse for value is within the middle teams like the Royals, Indians, Rays and Orioles.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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As you will see in the odds at the end of this point, the NL top 5 teams are not worth betting for the League Odds, but rather the World Series. 

I alluded to this earlier in the year.

For example, the Dodgers are +700 to win the World Series, but are favored at just +275.  This is almost 2.5 times the amount.  In essence, you would need the Dodgers to pay +140 in the Fall Classic, to make the same as winning the LCS, than betting them for the WS.

LA would probably be a great matchup versus any of the AL teams, and likely favored against all except for the Tigers.  The pitching staff is too strong.

The AL has  3 teams totally eliminated from even thinking about playoffs in my view, with the White Sox on the cusp of the threshold.

Give me the Orioles at +1000 any time, as they may have an easier time winning the AL, than in a World Series matchup. 

I also love the value of the Indians and Royals, as both teams are within earshot of the 2nd Wild Card leading Yankees and Blue Jays. and just behind the Mariners.

Like we have discussed so often, the AL Central should have the easiest strength of schedule down the last 60 games or so.

The top 4 favorite teams listed simply do not pay enough value to wager just for the NLCS odd. If you love any of these teams to win, you might a well bet them to win the World Series, where are all of the value is way more than double, and then you could always hedge your bets heading into the National League Championship Series.  I only really like the Milwaukee Brewers odd for the NL, because it is less than half of what they pay for the World Series, and they would be heavy underdogs versus most AL teams.

The top 4 favorite teams listed simply do not pay enough value to wager just for the NLCS odd. If you love any of these teams to win, you might a well bet them to win the World Series, where are all of the value is way more than double, and then you could always hedge your bets heading into the National League Championship Series. I only really like the Milwaukee Brewers odd for the NL, because it is less than half of what they pay for the World Series, and they would be heavy underdogs versus most AL teams.

The National League only has one team with nice odds to bet, and that is the Milwaukee Brewers.  This team has a full roster of health, while they are moving a small  gap between the top of the NL Central right now.

Ryan Braun is rounding into form, and if these guys trade for a power hitting 1B for the stretch, look the hell out, as the rest of the Infield and Outfield has above average to great hitters.

There are 7 teams in the NL in which I think are done already, and these clubs should be the providers at the Trade Deadline. 

The Senior Circuit is a more top-heavy league, and I believe it will take about 90 wins to clinch a playoff spot, whereas the 2nd AL team may bring in just north of 85 victories to secure a postseason berth.

COLORS – Meaning:

Blue – Poor ODD:

Black – About right odd

Bold Black/no underline – Not worth a risk because not making the playoffs.

Red – Awesome odd

American League

1. OAK +230

2. DET +310

3. LAA +450

T4. TOR +1000

T4 BAL +1000

6.  NYY +1200

7. SEA +1400

8. KC +2500

9. TB +2800 (Best Odd On the Board)

10. CLE +3000

11. BOS +3500

12. CWS +15000

13. MIN +25000

14. TEX +75000

15. HOU +150000

National League

1. LAD +275

T2. WSH +400

T2. SF +400

4. STL +500

5. MIL +800

6. ATL +850

7. PIT +1400

8. CIN +2500

9 NYM. +10000

10. MIA +12500

11. PHI +25000

12. SD +50000

T13. COL +150000

T13. ARI +150000

T13 CHC +150000

 The Rays continue their ascent back up the AL standings, and are just 4.5 Games behind the AL Wild Card's 2nd slot.  This team has great pitching, will probably not trade David Price, and have shot up from +13000 to +5000 in the World Series odds in 3 weeks.  I have been on them all year, and now at +2800 for the AL, you can take advantage of this value.  No team has faced more crucial win and you are in games in the last 6 years in the AL - and won a playoff spot like Tampa.  The play here is to hammer this odd, and you can always hedge if they make a playoff game in the Wild Card, then the ALDS to make a profit. This squad has been among the best teams during the 2nd half of seasons every year since 2008.

The Rays continue their ascent back up the AL standings, and are just 4.5 Games behind the AL Wild Card’s 2nd slot. This team has great pitching, will probably not trade David Price, and have shot up from +13000 to +5000 in the World Series odds in 3 weeks. I have been on them all year, and now at +2800 for the AL, you can take advantage of this value. No team has faced more crucial win and you are in games in the last 6 years in the AL – and won a playoff spot like Tampa. The play here is to hammer this odd, and you can always hedge if they make a playoff game in the Wild Card, then the ALDS to make a profit. This squad has been among the best teams during the 2nd half of seasons every year since 2008.

 

US Residents be advised it is illegal to gamble in most states in the country.

Odds brought to you by http://www.bet365.com

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.

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About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at http://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/
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