Odds To Win The 2014 Home Run Derby: New Rules Format + Previous Winners

 

HR Derby 2014

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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I said yesterday that I believed Todd Frazier would be an underdog darkhorse to win the HR derby at Target Field.

Little did I know he is the 8th favorite out of 10 hitters.

The ALL – Star longball competition has changed formats.  There are 3 players from the AL and NL that survive the 1st RD (7 outs each hitter).

The top players in each league win a bye into the semi-final round automatically, while the 2nd and 3rd seeds in each league square off in the 2nd round in a matchup each.

Once the winners are established in that round (7 Outs), the remaining 4 contestants will be duking it out in their respective leagues to find who owns the National League and American league big fly bragging rights.

The winners of the AL/NL will face off for the championship.  Again, all rounds contain 7 outs.  Maybe this will ease some of the time constraints.

The oddsmakers don't favor Dozier at all.  At +1400, he is just +100 behind both Morneau and Frazier.

The oddsmakers don’t favor Dozier at all. At +1400, he is just +100 behind both Morneau and Frazier.

2014 HR Derby Odds

1.  Giancarlo Stanton (NL) +250:  Hate the odds – even though this guy may be the winner.

2.  Yoenis Cespedes (AL) +450:  Last year’s winner, and no ballpark can hold the baseballs in when he lets it rip. Will bet him for $15 – to win $82.50.

3.  Yasiel Puig (NL) +500:  I think he will hit the most line drives, and also with his 1st time in the MLB HR Derby, nerves might get him.

4.  Jose Bautista (AL) +600:  Love the guy if he weren’t fighting injuries so much in the last few years.  I think he will tire out.  He needs that 1st RD Bye for sure to win this competition.

5.  Troy Tulowitzki (NL) +750:  As the captain of the NL team, I love the value at +750 here.

6.  Josh Donaldson (AL) +1000:  He has the perfect swing for a RoundTrip contest.  Great value.

7.  Adam Jones (AL) +1100:  A late night game on Sunday, with a long rain delay, may contribute to him not hitting as well.

T8.  Justin Morneau (NL) +1300:  I think this is awesome, the former Twins 1B is coming back as an ALL – Star.  I bet $2 just to win $32 ( I bet for the Canadian when he was 16/1 not 13/1, and break even in case he gets hot).

Morneau won the 2008 HR Derby, and he is the only LHB In the whole thing.

T8.  Todd Frazier (NL) +1300:  Love this value.  All over it for a $10 wager-Pays $150.

10.  Brian Dozier (AL) + 1400:  The hometown boy clocked 2 HRs yesterday in a game.  I think it will be too much pressure to win the thing in his 1st ASG.

Whoever wins this, I hope a lot of Homers are hit, and there are some more broken windshields just like Joey Gallo did yesterday in the prospects Derby!

Also odds for the AL vs NL  on Tuesday are up with the American League being slight favorites..   AL -107 – NL -103.

It must feel great to be Justin Morneau.  He is coming back to Minnesota as an ALL - Star player this year, his 1st ASG since 2010, when his concussion problems started.  The 2008 HR Derby winner is the only left handed batter in the whole contest.  The 33 Year Old Canadian is having a renaissance to his career, with a 3 3 Slash Line of .302/.345/.502 in Colorado this year, with 13 HRs and 60 RBI.  The 2006 AL MVP made it to 4 MidSummer Classics  straight from 2007 - 2010, and played for the Twins from 2003 - 2013.

It must feel great to be Justin Morneau. He is coming back to Minnesota as an ALL – Star player this year, his 1st ASG since 2010, when his concussion problems started. The 2008 HR Derby winner is the only left handed batter in the whole contest. The 33 Year Old Canadian is having a renaissance to his career, with a 3 3 Slash Line of .302/.345/.502 in Colorado this year, with 13 HRs and 60 RBI. The 2006 AL MVP made it to 4 MidSummer Classics straight from 2007 – 2010, and played for the Twins from 2003 – 2013.

Derby Previous Winners/Venue + Total HRs

2013 – Yoenis Cespedes, A’s – Citi Field (32)

2012 – Prince Fielder, Tigers – Kauffman Stadium (28)

2011 – Robinson Cano, Yankees – Chase Field (32)

2010 – David Ortiz, Red Sox – Angels Stadium (32)

2009 – Prince Fielder, Brewers – Busch Stadium (29)

2008 – Justin Morneau, Twins – Yankees Stadium II (22)

2007 – Vladimir Guerrero, Angels – AT @ T Park (17)

2006 – Ryan Howard, Phillies – PNC Park (23)

2005 – Bobby Abreu, Phillies – Comerica Park (41)

2004 – Miguel Tejada – Orioles – Minute Maid Park (27)

2003 – Garret Anderson, Angels – Us Cellular Field (23)

2002 – Jason Giambi, Yankees – Miller Park (24)

2001 – Luis Gonzalez, D’Backs – Safeco Field (16)

2000 – Sammy Sosa, Cubs – Turner Field (26)

1999 – Ken Griffey JR. Mariners – Fenway Park (16)

1998 –Ken Griffey JR. Mariners – Coors Field (19)

1997 – Tino Martinez, Yankees – Jacobs Field (16)

1996 – Barry Bonds , Giants – Veterans Stadium (17)

1995 – Albert Belle, Indians – The Ballpark In Arlington

1994 – Ken Griffey JR. (7) – Three Rivers Stadium

1993 – Juan Gonzalez, Rangers (12) – Orioles Park At Camden Yards

1992 –  Mark McGwire, A’s (12) – Jack Murphy Stadium

1991 –  Cal Ripken JR., O’s (12) – The Skydome

1990 – Ryne Sandberg, Cubs (3) – Wrigley Field)

1989 – Eric Davis, Reds (3) + Ruben Sierra, Rangers (3) NL beat AL 9 – 6, Angels Stadium

1988 – cancelled due to rain.

1987 – Andre Dawson, Cubs (6) – NL Beat the AL 6 – 2. The Coliseum in Oakland.

1986 – Darryl Strawberry, Mets (4)  + Wally Joyner, Angels (4) – NL Beat the AL 8 – 7 – Astrodome in Houston.

1985 – Dave Parker, Reds (6) – Metrodome

Ken Griffey JR. is the only ever 3 time winner of the contest.  Prince Fielder is also a multiple time winner of the event.  Justin Morneau and Yoenis Cespedes are the only participants in this year's contest, that have previously won the crown before.

Ken Griffey JR. is the only ever 3 time winner of the contest. Prince Fielder is also a multiple time winner of the event. Justin Morneau and Yoenis Cespedes are the only participants in this year’s contest, that have previously won the crown before.

odds brought to you by www.bet365.com

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 *** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post

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About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at http://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/
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