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I said yesterday that I believed Todd Frazier would be an underdog darkhorse to win the HR derby at Target Field.
Little did I know he is the 8th favorite out of 10 hitters.
The ALL – Star longball competition has changed formats. There are 3 players from the AL and NL that survive the 1st RD (7 outs each hitter).
The top players in each league win a bye into the semi-final round automatically, while the 2nd and 3rd seeds in each league square off in the 2nd round in a matchup each.
Once the winners are established in that round (7 Outs), the remaining 4 contestants will be duking it out in their respective leagues to find who owns the National League and American league big fly bragging rights.
The winners of the AL/NL will face off for the championship. Again, all rounds contain 7 outs. Maybe this will ease some of the time constraints.
2014 HR Derby Odds
1. Giancarlo Stanton (NL) +250: Hate the odds – even though this guy may be the winner.
2. Yoenis Cespedes (AL) +450: Last year’s winner, and no ballpark can hold the baseballs in when he lets it rip. Will bet him for $15 – to win $82.50.
3. Yasiel Puig (NL) +500: I think he will hit the most line drives, and also with his 1st time in the MLB HR Derby, nerves might get him.
4. Jose Bautista (AL) +600: Love the guy if he weren’t fighting injuries so much in the last few years. I think he will tire out. He needs that 1st RD Bye for sure to win this competition.
5. Troy Tulowitzki (NL) +750: As the captain of the NL team, I love the value at +750 here.
6. Josh Donaldson (AL) +1000: He has the perfect swing for a RoundTrip contest. Great value.
7. Adam Jones (AL) +1100: A late night game on Sunday, with a long rain delay, may contribute to him not hitting as well.
T8. Justin Morneau (NL) +1300: I think this is awesome, the former Twins 1B is coming back as an ALL – Star. I bet $2 just to win $32 ( I bet for the Canadian when he was 16/1 not 13/1, and break even in case he gets hot).
Morneau won the 2008 HR Derby, and he is the only LHB In the whole thing.
T8. Todd Frazier (NL) +1300: Love this value. All over it for a $10 wager-Pays $150.
10. Brian Dozier (AL) + 1400: The hometown boy clocked 2 HRs yesterday in a game. I think it will be too much pressure to win the thing in his 1st ASG.
Whoever wins this, I hope a lot of Homers are hit, and there are some more broken windshields just like Joey Gallo did yesterday in the prospects Derby!
Also odds for the AL vs NL on Tuesday are up with the American League being slight favorites.. AL -107 – NL -103.
Derby Previous Winners/Venue + Total HRs
2013 – Yoenis Cespedes, A’s – Citi Field (32)
2012 – Prince Fielder, Tigers – Kauffman Stadium (28)
2011 – Robinson Cano, Yankees – Chase Field (32)
2010 – David Ortiz, Red Sox – Angels Stadium (32)
2009 – Prince Fielder, Brewers – Busch Stadium (29)
2008 – Justin Morneau, Twins – Yankees Stadium II (22)
2007 – Vladimir Guerrero, Angels – AT @ T Park (17)
2006 – Ryan Howard, Phillies – PNC Park (23)
2005 – Bobby Abreu, Phillies – Comerica Park (41)
2004 – Miguel Tejada – Orioles – Minute Maid Park (27)
2003 – Garret Anderson, Angels – Us Cellular Field (23)
2002 – Jason Giambi, Yankees – Miller Park (24)
2001 – Luis Gonzalez, D’Backs – Safeco Field (16)
2000 – Sammy Sosa, Cubs – Turner Field (26)
1999 – Ken Griffey JR. Mariners – Fenway Park (16)
1998 –Ken Griffey JR. Mariners – Coors Field (19)
1997 – Tino Martinez, Yankees – Jacobs Field (16)
1996 – Barry Bonds , Giants – Veterans Stadium (17)
1995 – Albert Belle, Indians – The Ballpark In Arlington
1994 – Ken Griffey JR. (7) – Three Rivers Stadium
1993 – Juan Gonzalez, Rangers (12) – Orioles Park At Camden Yards
1991 – Cal Ripken JR., O’s (12) – The Skydome
1990 – Ryne Sandberg, Cubs (3) – Wrigley Field)
1988 – cancelled due to rain.
1987 – Andre Dawson, Cubs (6) – NL Beat the AL 6 – 2. The Coliseum in Oakland.
1985 – Dave Parker, Reds (6) – Metrodome
odds brought to you by www.bet365.com
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A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post
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