Gambling In Baseball, Hedging Your Bets + Value Plays: MLB Reports Picks Of The Year

Get set for another season of throwing some cash around when it comes to baseball.  MLB Reports will have you ready with what we are looking at as well.

Get set for another season of throwing some cash around when it comes to baseball. MLB Reports will have you ready with what we are looking at as well.

Hunter Stokes (Chief Writer): 

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Staked with an initial bankroll of over $1000 thanks to a nice NFL Parlay in the 2013 – 2014 year, I set out to make some bank trying make luck at placing some moolah on the game of baseball.

I head to Vegas frequently enough that I have thrown down almost all of it already, but have a great chance of making my $ back and then some.

Before the year began, I placed a wager for each of the Texas Rangers (Yikes), Tampa Bay Rays (Or should I say Devil Rays?), but they best maneuver before campaign was to slot a $14.44 wager on the Giants at 25/1 odds for the World Series.

That pays about $380.00.

I then followed the Tampa Bays advice ticket Chuck Booth laid out for all of the website.  Even though it will break even as a wager, I would do it every time.

The skinny of that was that I bet $120 on the Tampa squad to lose under 88 games, and I used the potential profit to bet on the team to win the AL East, the ALCS and World Series.

The whole caveat was that I was virtually guaranteed to make my money back if Joe Maddon‘s club struggled, but could make substantial amounts of profit if the organization had a long October run.

The Astros lost the last 15 games to end the 2013 campaign, and put forth an 111 game loss season, and it looked bleak for the franchise in 2014 just 5 weeks ago.  Since then, Springer has smashed 13 HRs, added almost an RBI a game, and has lit a fire under the teams offense.  Oh Yeah.  Jose Altuve is also in the top 5 for AL Batting, Chris Carter and Jon Singleton has hit HRs of late, and Dallas Keuchel and Collin McHugh are both pitching fantastic for the squad that is now 31 - 38.

The Astros lost the last 15 games to end the 2013 campaign, and put forth an 111 game loss season, and it looked bleak for the franchise in 2014 just 5 weeks ago. Since then, Springer has smashed 13 HRs, added almost an RBI a game, and has lit a fire under the teams offense. Oh Yeah. Jose Altuve is also in the top 5 for AL Batting, Chris Carter and Jon Singleton has hit HRs of late, and Dallas Keuchel and Collin McHugh are both pitching fantastic for the squad that is now 31 – 38.

I won’t go crazy here, but my favorite bet the other day was taking the Houston Astros at +250000/1 to win the World Series, for a $2 bet that nets $5000, or the Stros to win the AL West at $5 wager, that pays a swift $2005 payout at 40/1 odds.

In all I have $800 on the whole invested but here is who I have.

Hunter Stokes Personal Wagers Put Forth this Year

$70 BET: The Padres ($124 win, if they lose 79 Games or under)

$70 BET: The Nationals ($131 win, if they win more than 90 games)

$70 BET: The Royals ($131 win, if they win more than 82 games ($1020.00 if they win the World Series – Bet $20 when they were 50/1 odd)

NYY – 0 Bets

TB – $750 If they win the World Series, $228 if they win the ALCS, $220 if they win the AL East, and $228 if the lose under 88 games)

$20 BET: TOR – $47.50 if they win the AL East. (Got em at +138 for the Division when they finished their winning streak)

$10 BET at 50/1: BAL – $510.00 if they win the World Series.  $117.00 if they win the AL East.

$13 BET at 6/1 ODDS BOS – $77 to win the AL East.

CLE – $607 if they win the World Series (bet them at 80/1 when they were bad)

CWS – $1107 ( Bet them at about +15000 odd) CWS for the AL central ($105 on a +1500 wager of $7 bucks)

$4 BET MIN – $112 To win the AL Central (28/1 odd for the Division)

DET – $894 Win For The World Series based on a $74 bet on 11/1 odd after week 1 MLB

TEX – $577 To win the World Series.  $31 Bet at 11/1 Odd preseason, $5 on 50/1 ODD this week

OAK – 0 Bets

LAA – 0 Bets

SEA – 0 Bets

HOU – ($5002.00 For World Series win $2 wager yesterday – Current record was 31 – 37 – (14 – 5 in the last 19) –  $2005 win for AL West on $5 bet. ‘Sully wins $4000 if the Marlins win the World Series,”

ATL – 0 Bets

WSH – $131 to win 91 or greater games. (Preseason)

MIA – I don’t have a bet but lead podcast personality ‘Sully wins $4000 if the Marlins win the World Series”

PHI – $729 Win for World Series on $9 bets at 80/1.

NYM – $602 Win for World Series on $2 Bet 300/1 odd.

CIN – $1608 for World Series on a $24 bet on 66/1 odd back when they were 3 – 8.  are 28 – 26 since.

$5 BET PIT $380 win for World Series win on a 66/1 odd a few weeks back.

MIL – Bet $50 on them to win the NL Central, and pays $110.00 +120 a week back – with a 5 games lead.

CHC – 0 bets

LAD – 0 Bets

SF – $379 on a 25/1 odd at $14.44 Bet (Preseason)

ARI – 0 Bets

SD – $124 for a win if they hold 78 wins or fewer. (Preseason Wager)

COL – $1000 on a $4 bet at them at +25000. this week.

Obviously my favorite wagered teams are HOU/CIN/DET/TB/CWS/CLE/KC/TEX and so forth, but really if any of the surprise teams vaults into the playoffs – it would leave me in a possession of strength.

Hedging can be done to ensure of some profit.  Meaning I could wager on a team that is competing against one of those aforementioned clubs.

Lets say if KC met LAA in a playoff game.  I could potentially make $1020 if the Royals win the World Series, and they are close enough to the later rounds of the postseason, I would place some money on the Angels to win the one game playoff.

The best case scenario would be for the Cincinnati Reds to meet the Houston Astros, KC Royals or Detroit Tigers in the World Series.  This way you can be assured of a win.

This is way the Marlins made my best bet on the boards of the Odds to win the world Series this week, as did the White Sox and the Astros.  These are teams considered longshot underdogs, but all have been playing exceeding expectations so far.

While Houston’s 14 – 5 stretch represents a small sample size, the team can hit HRs with the best of them now,  George Springer and Chris Carter have about 20 HRs in the teams last 28 games.

Dallas Keuchel could make the ALL – Star Squad, and Jose Altuve is another potential player for the AL contingent as part of the Mid-Summers Classic.

The the Houston franchise sees their team playing near a Wild Card slot or beyond, the club definitely has payroll flexibility to add.  You add in a dynamic farm – and you could potentially pull of a blockbuster deal for an ace.

Of course the Blue Jays, Angels, Yankees, Braves, Nationals, Dodgers, A’s, Cardinals and Red Sox could ruin the entire party.

The good news is that I should win $228 from the Tampa Bay Rays scenario, and have a great shot 2 win 2 out of 3 over.under wagers.  This would take me to over $725 again with bankroll.

Then I have the SF Giants and Detroit Tigers to help pad my dough back up to the profit side of the ledger.

Again, if I can hit on a lot of a playoff teams with the clubs I selected, it places me in the Position of Strength.

Nobody believes in Cincy this year, and there is good reason to believe this team will have a decent second half to their campaign.  An infusion of Joey Votto back to the lineup, and now Mat Latos coming back to the fold, a team that has made the postseason 3 out of the last 4 years could well take off to make it 4 out of 5.  They only start play today 3 games behind the playoff bar.

Nobody believes in Cincy this year, and there is good reason to believe this team will have a decent second half to their campaign. An infusion of Joey Votto back to the lineup, and now Mat Latos coming back to the fold, a team that has made the postseason 3 out of the last 4 years could well take off to make it 4 out of 5. They only start play today 3 games behind the playoff bar.  I am thankful to have to received such a high odd at 66/1 back in Early April on this squad.  It was too much of a value to ignore, and I have now have a $1608 potential win for only throwing down $24.

 *** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***

A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post

For all of the Rosters, Depth Charts, State of the Unions and Salaries Posts that we do, please visit our dedicated page link here.

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About chuckbooth3023

I played competitive baseball until 18 years old and had offers to play NCAA Division 1 University Baseball at Liberty University. Post-concussion symptoms from previous football and baseball head injuries forced me to retire by age 19. After two nearly made World Record Attempts in 2008, I set a New World Record by visiting all 30 MLB Parks (from 1st to last pitch) in only 24 Calendar Days in the summer 0f 2009. In April of 2012, I established yet another new GWR by visiting all 30 Parks in only 23 Calendar Days! You can see the full schedule at the page of the www.mlbreports.com/gwr-tracker . In 2015, I watched 224 MLB Games, spanning all 30 MLB Parks in 183 Days. Read about that World Record Journey at http://mlbreports.com/183in2015/229sked2015/
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