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The art of placing a good futures bet in Baseball will always require due diligence on anyone’s part. In my next article today, I will reveal all of the bets I placed from Vegas so far this year.
The method to my madness is figuring out when to wager on a team based on their value.
In my set of picks to start the year, I selected TB, TEX and SF. Mind you the 1st 2 look horrid now, but I managed to secure the Giants at a +2500 World Series odd because the LA Dodgers were so heavily favored.
I also pounced on the Tigers having a bad 1st week, and were at +1100 (highest odd on the board this season), before they then jumped out to 27 – 12 for the year.
Detroit has since regressed to a 7 – 18 clip – corresponding with a late plane trip when they left Boston 4 Sundays ago, owners of the MLB best record.
Again gamblers have all the confidence in the “Motown Boys” because they are the 3 time reigning AL Central Champs, have an abundance of premiere talent, and the easiest path of resistance in their own AL Central Division.
I am elated I had the odd at twice the current value.
In the last several days I have hedged a bet with all AL Central teams in forms of a World Series and Division Winner wager. I am divulging all in the next article.
Last week I was on fire, selecting 7 winners and 2 draws – in deciphering which teams were slated properly, and which squads weren’t.
What I can’t fathom now is that the SF Giants and LA Dodgers are listed as the same odd even though the Bay Area NL franchise is 7.5 Games ahead of the Dodgers.
The sharks must think the Los Angeles squad is fully capable of running rampant through the NL with even a Wild Card Selection.
The mid level odd teams like Baltimore, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Cleveland and Pittsburgh all have great odds put up this week as well.
The value may never be higher, as all of these franchises are well within striking distance of the playoff bar.
The Reds have Mat Latos coming back, plus Joey Votto is already donning the jersey fresh from healing up his ailments. I stand to win the most cashola on the RedLegs – if they can’t get hot, and win the Fall Classic this campaign.
Again, the Brew Crew are at almost double the odds, despite yielding a 5 game lead on the Cardinals.
With Adam Wainwright having injury soreness, and the rest of the team featuring anemic totals, is it too far fetched for Milwaukee to take down the Division first, before going on a nice run to the World Series?
If you are one of the people who loves extreme wild shots, I placed 3 of these such stakes to 3 different teams on the best bets board.
Houston is paying 2500/1 to win the World Series. While I understand this is the longest of underdogs, these guys are 14 – 5 since they have assembled a full array of offense led by George Springer, and they do have a couple of decent pitchers and power bats.
The ‘Stros have played inspired baseball of late, and are quickly reminding us of what the Oakland A’s were able to manufacture in the 2012 campaign.
It may be worth a $2 Bet to nail down a $5000 potential win.
Along those same lines, I give you the Miami Marlins.
The Fish have surprised us two times in their history, and have the worlds e best young power hitter in Giancarlo Stanton flashing some heavy lumber this season.
The Marlins are currently tied for the 2nd Wild Card, and who knows, the management and brass may turn around and shell out some dough for a starter to help compensate for the Jose Fernandez injury.
The next blog will be an important outlier of how I intend to hedge these bets should I see some nice play from any of best bets.
Best Bets on the Board LAST Week (Value wise): Record 3 – 1 – 1
1. Baltimore +4000 (+3500) WIN
2. Cleveland +5500 (+5500) Draw
3. Cincinnati +5500 (+6000) LOSS
4. Texas +5500 (+5000) WIN
5. Milwaukee +2000 (+1800) WIN
Worst odds on the board LAST Week 4 – 0 – 1 (Value Wise)
1. Oakland +600 (+650) WIN
2. Toronto +850 (+900) WIN
3. LA Dodgers +800 (+800) Draw
4. New York +2200 (+2500) WIN
5. Detroit +550 (+600) WIN
Odds To Win The 2014 World Series This Week (Last Week Odd)
1. DET +600 (+550)
2. OAK +650 (+600)
3. WSH +750 (+850)
T4. LAD +800 (+800)
T4 SF +800 (+800)
6. TOR +900 (+850)
7. STL +1000 (+1000)
8. LAA +1100 (+1400)
9. ATL +1600 (+1200)
10. MIL +1800 (+2000)
11. NYY +2500 (+2200)
T12. BOS +3500 (+2800)
T12. BAL +3500 (+4000)
T14. SEA +4000 (+4000)
T14. PIT +4000 (+4500)
T16. KC +5000 (+8000)
T16 TEX +5000 (+5500)
18. CLE +5500 (+5500)
19. CIN +5500 (+6000)
20. MIA +12500 (+10000)
T21. CWS +15000 (+15000)
T21. MIN +15000 (+25000)
23. COL +25000 (+10000)
24. TB +30000 (+15000)
T25. SD +50000 (+25000)
T25. NYM +50000 (+30000)
T25 PHI +50000 (+50000)
28. ARI +75000 (+75000)
29. CHC +150000 (+125000)
30. HOU +250000 (+200000)
Best Bets on the Board This Week (Value wise):
1. Cincinnati +6000
2. Houston +250000
3. Chicago White Sox +15000
4. Miami +12500
5. Milwaukee +1800
Worst odds on the board This Week (Value Wise)
1. LAA +1100
2. Toronto +900
3. Seattle +4000
4. Oakland +650
5. Detroit +600
odds brought to you by www.bet365.com
Please note that it is illegal for US citizens to gamble in most States.
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post
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