Best Value Odd Highlighted in Red
Analysis: I fully expect the Baltimore Orioles to be involved in trade talks to land an ace pitcher, with using either Kevin Gausman or Dylan Bundy as bait. This year represents the teams best chance to win.
If the Yankees fall out of it, they will drop under the $189 MIL Luxury Tax Threshold, by jettisoning players, and will then sign everyone in the offseason with a fresh slate for a salary tax 1st time offense at only 17.5% – instead of a 50% clip now
The X factors are if Chris Davis can find his 2013 swing, and Ubaldo Jimenez remembers how to throw like his 2nd half 2013 self. Toronto has enough bashers to club their way to the Division Title, and their -133 is not a bad odd either to wager on.
1. TOR -133
2. NYY +320
3. BOS +500
4. BAL +650
5. TB +5000
Analysis: The Tigers have let all of these teams stick around with a brutal stretch of baseball. KC has played better of late, have the pitching staff to aid their quest, and could still find some offense.
At a 10-1 odd, that is a decent play. Give me 10 years of KC vs DET with how current team is situated, and I bet the Royals would win 2 or 3 AL Centrals. I like Cleveland’s offense, however the starting chuckers are still shaky.
1. DET -500
2. CLE +600
3. KC +1000
4. CWS +2500
5. MIN +5000
Analysis: With just a 2.5 Games Lead, and LAA having Josh Hamilton return to the fold, the value is with Los Angeles. I Still believe Oakland will find a way to win the division, and I think the Halo’s rotation’s back end will have a tough time lugging 2nd half innings.
I have learned over the last few seasons never to bet against Oakland, so while the Angels are the value pick, I am steering clear of this whole AL West.
1. OAK -188
2. LAA +225
3. SEA +850
4. TEX +1600
5. HOU +50000
Analysis: The Nats rotation is starting to dominate, and finding a spot for Ryan Zimmermann in the outfield is a wise move.
Atlanta doesn’t have the horses to stick with Washington if the Nationals are firing on all cylinders.
Miami is a nice story but should seriously fade soon. If they had Jose Fernandez, I would like their +1600 odd.
1. WSH -130
2. ATL +150
3. MIA +1600
4. NYM +5000
5. PHI +10000
Analysis: It is simple, Adam Wainwright never loses, Michael Wacha is a good pitcher, and the depth of this franchise will serve them well. Milwaukee has some streaky players, but have played a few games under .500 since mid April.
Cincinnati is flawed with the offensive struggles of Brandon Phillips and Jay Bruce, and are digging a hole they may not be able to dig out of. The Reds may push for a Wild Card Slot, but 90 wins looks far fetched, even at 12 – 1.
1. STL -110
2. MIL +138
3. PIT +900
4. CIN +1200
5. CHC +50000
Analysis: This is no brainer, stay away from this fool’s bet. The Dodgers are 7.5 Games behind the Giants, but have the better talented team at least.
That amount of deficit is extremely hard to makeup, even for a team that put forth a 42 – 8 mark around this time last year. The Dodgers spent all of April without Clayton Kershaw, and now he is dealing again.
1. SF -275
2. LAD +200
3. COL +800
4. SD +10000
5. ARI +15000
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*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post
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